The Candidate: Barack Obama (D)
The Issue: Health Care
The Position: Supports government-sponsored coverage.
The Cost: $452 billion annually (Source:
Health Systems Innovations Network)
The Media Position: “What’s wrong with government-run health care?”
George Stephanopoulos, ABC “This Week,” April 20, 2008.
The Issue
Politicians, including
Democratic presidential candidate Sen. Barack Obama,
Ill., and the media have illustrated a “need” for
government-run health care by citing Census Bureau
statistics suggesting that in 2006 some 47 million
Americans were uninsured. The Bureau in
August 2008 revised the number to 45.7 million
uninsured during 2007.
Since the beginning of 2008
alone, the broadcast networks have cited the statistic
at least 18 times.
The problem: the number is
inflated. It includes people who aren’t American
citizens, people who could afford their own insurance,
and people who already qualify for existing government
coverage but haven’t taken it.
Nonetheless, citing the
Census Bureau number, Obama proposes a new
government-run insurance program. Obama’s plan would
“reform the private insurance market” by establishing a
federal entity to oversee standards and practices for
the industry.
Obama’s plan, which includes
provisions for a national coverage plan and more
government regulation of the private sector, could cost
as much as $452 billion annually, according to the
Health Systems Innovations Network. Other sources
estimate lower costs, such as the $110 billion a year
estimate provided by
The Washington Post.
Obama proposes creating a new
national health plan that would cover the self-employed
and small businesses. His plan would prevent insurance
providers from denying coverage based on pre-existing
conditions. It would expand federal subsidies for
families who currently make too much money to qualify
for Medicaid or the State Children’s Health Insurance
Program.
Obama proposes a “National
Health Insurance Exchange” to “act as a watchdog group
and help reform the private insurance market by creating
rules and standards for participating insurance plans to
ensure fairness and to make individual coverage more
affordable and accessible.”
The plan would punish
businesses who do not offer a “meaningful contribution”
to their employees’ health coverage by making them pay a
tax, which he has not yet specified. It would mandate
health insurance for children.
The Obama plan would also
create a form of government-funded backstop insurance.
The program would pay for “catastrophic” medical
situations that insurance-holders and their employers
couldn’t pay for.
The Media Position
The media have largely
supported the liberal approach of creating more
government oversight of and involvement in the health
care industry without examining the real costs of more
government control. In almost 500 stories mentioning
Obama and health care between Jan. 1 and Sept. 30, fewer
than 20 percent mentioned “cost.”
NBC’s Mike Taibbi said on the
Sept. 12 “Nightly News” that Obama proposes “expanded
health care” but didn’t explain how Obama plans to offer
it.
In an interview with Obama on
the Sept. 23 “Today” show, NBC host Matt Lauer called
Obama’s plan “ambitious.” Rather than questioning the
candidate on his plan, Lauer simply said, “You want to
improve health care, you want to improve education, the
infrastructure.”
And not all of the stories
mentioning cost offered specifics on how much money
Obama’s plan would actually require. ABC’s Ron Claiborne
noted on “World News Sunday” April 27 that Obama and his
then-rival, Democratic Sen. Hillary Clinton, N.Y., “want
every American to have health insurance and they would
spend billions to do it.”
While networks have favored a
government-run plan by failing to explore its
consequences, at least some print media outlets have
acknowledged the potential damage such a system would
create. In an August 25 special section, editors of The
Wall Street Journal wrote that the “likely result” of
Obama’s plan would be “more Americans buying insurance
with the help of government, with more people insured,
but government spending a lot for subsidies.”
$452 Billion Annually
The National Taxpayers Union
Foundation
estimates Obama’s plan will cost $102 billion annually,
based on campaign estimates.
An
April 2008 Washington Post editorial estimated
Obama’s would cost closer to $110 billion per year and
accused the candidate of “aggressively overestimating
[his plan’s] expected health-care savings.”
Health Systems Innovations
Network, an industry data analysis consultant, estimates
Obama’s proposal will cost
$452 billion annually.
The
Heritage Foundation reported in October that the
exact costs of Obama’s plans are “unclear.” The report
says Obama would create a “powerful regulatory agency”
in the National Health Insurance Exchange, “not simply a
clearinghouse for a national health insurance market.
Under the Obama plan, the federal government would both
set the highly prescriptive rules and compete in the
market.”
“Perhaps of greater concern,”
the report said, “these expansions [of existing and new
federal programs] could serve as first steps in a more
ambitious federal takeover of American health care.”
George Mason University
economics professor Donald Boudreaux, a Business & Media
Institute adviser, criticized plans that involve central
direction.
“Virtually every health care
plan that I’m aware of involves – for my tastes, in my
professional opinion – involves way too much central
direction mandating how people should be covered and
involvement in the medical care industry that I worry
it’ll just make things worse,” he said. “I would get
government out of the health care industry.”
Grace-Marie Turner, president
of the free-market health care research organization the
Galen Institute, predicted that rather than keeping
private options available to consumers, the combination
of Obama’s national plan for the uninsured and the
regulatory body created in his National Health Insurance
Exchange would run private insurers out of business.
“[O]ne of the provisions of
that would be a new national health plan which is really
a government-run insurance plan, if there could be such
a thing, that I believe really seriously threatens the
rest of private coverage,” said Turner, a Business &
Media Institute adviser. “That he would say that you can
buy into this government plan – which is certainly going
to be subsidized by the taxpayer either directly or
indirectly – it’s going to have federal policing
authority, federal price control authority, all of the
anti-competitive features that a government program has
and it’s going to be very difficult, I think, for
private plans to compete with that.”
“I think you would quickly see
that private health insurance options dry up, go away
and you really only have the option of this government
plan, which then is going to have a lot more authority
to institute price controls and rationing and the other
kind of restrictions on access to health care that we
unfortunately see in many other states around the globe,
many other countries,” Turner said.
She pointed to examples of
government-backed care that doesn’t provide fantastic
service to taxpayers. “We’ve seen in Massachusetts, for
example, that even though they passed a universal
coverage bill and have a mandate that everyone has to
have health insurance, they’re increasingly finding that
people can’t find a doctor that can see them. There is
already, I saw some statistics recently, a 100-day wait
for people to actually see a primary care physician.”
But Dan Mitchell, a senior
fellow at the Cato Institute, said the current system is
bad enough that Obama’s proposals wouldn’t make it much
worse.
“Obama basically is going to
take that bad system and just layer a little bit more
government on top of it,” Mitchell told BMI. “So it’s
not as if he has a really radical plan like Hillary
Clinton back in 1993, but he’s nonetheless still going
to try to move government policy in the wrong direction
by exacerbating the third-party problem by having more
government subsidies and more government intervention.”
Both campaigns have
cited the Census Bureau statistics on the number of
Americans without health insurance. While the
candidates’ plans – and economists’ opinions of those
plans – differ greatly, one thing is clear: the
statistics about the uninsured in the United States are
inflated.
The Business & Media
Institute
reported in 2007 that the number included illegal
aliens, people who were between jobs (rather than
permanently unemployed and uninsured) and others who
could afford insurance but chose not to purchase it.
Turner called it “ridiculous
and not true” to think that there is a “permanent
underclass of the same 40-some million people that not
only don’t have health insurance but have no access to
the health care system whatsoever.”
“At least 40 percent,
probably more, are flowing through the employment-based
system,” Turner said. “Because we tie health insurance
so closely to the workplace in this country, many of the
people have lost health insurance because they’ve lost
or changed their jobs and they haven’t yet picked up
coverage at their new employer, so they’re temporarily
uninsured.”
“Another probably 10 million
are illegal immigrants who are not going to be addressed
if we have a nationalization of our health sector,” she
said. “At least 10 million of them are eligible for
existing public programs, either Medicaid or the State
Children’s Health Insurance Program, primarily. People
who are eligible for existing programs and who are not
enrolled. And another, as many as 10 million, are making
$50,000 to $75,000 a year or more and could likely
afford to purchase insurance.”
Turner estimated between 5
million and 10 million Americans actually face serious
problems related to lack of insurance. “That seems to me
a problem we should target rather than saying we need to
reorganize the entire health sector, affecting 300
million people in this country, in order to address this
problem that is going to need a targeted solution
anyway.”
McCain: Read
about the media’s attacks on free-market approaches to
health care reform.
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